Divisions in the Ranks?
November 06, 2010 / Bruce Stokes
National Journal
Business interests are salivating over the prospects of finally passing long-stalled trade agreements. President Obama has signaled that he may send the South Korea free-trade deal to Capitol Hill early next year, where a pro-trade GOP leadership will now control the House and a likely bipartisan Senate alliance backs trade liberalization.
Only trouble is, this upbeat scenario ignores public-opinion surveys showing that congressional Republicans are out of step with many GOP voters who are more skeptical of trade than Democrats are. House Republicans did not include trade in their preelection “Pledge to America.” And further clouding the legislative crystal ball, the trade views of tea party-endorsed congressional freshmen are far from clear.
More certain is that the confluence of populist Republican and Democratic worries about China’s impact on American jobs and the business community’s mounting frustration with Beijing ensures that the Asian giant will remain high on the trade agenda.
Trade was not a primary concern for midterm voters. But a stand-up-for-America message did figure prominently in dozens of campaign ads, many of which were run by victorious GOP candidates. So, next year’s congressional trade agenda is likely to involve both a carrot (possible passage of some trade agreements) and a stick (tougher sanctions against China)



