Publications Archive
The Iranian Nuclear Crisis as Seen from Central Asia April 11, 2012 / Sébastien Peyrouse
In Central Asia, the risk of a military strike and the consequences of an Iranian reprisal on regional stability in an already sensitive region have stirred growing anxiety. Central Asian governments are unanimous on the Iranian issue: all call for a diplomatic settlement of the conflict. The Central Asian states would obviously prefer a denuclearized Iran, but they believe that Tehran is not yet capable of making operational nuclear weapons. Further, they believe that if Iran got this capability, it would not use it against them. They also think Iran could be convinced to abandon its weapons program if a trust relationship with the United States were restored and if the country were entitled to a geostrategic rebalancing in its favor opposite Israel and Pakistan. To Central Asia, the risk of pre-emptive military strikes seems much more dangerous and real than the Iranian program itself.



