Publications Archive
Turkey’s Travails: Outlook and Strategic Consequences May 01, 2008 / Ian Lesser
As Turkey's Constitutional Court prepares to act on the closure case pending against the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP), Turks across the ideological spectrum are watching and waiting. Predictions and preferences abound; active responses are limited. Caution and inertia appear to be the order of the day, even for those most exposed to the consequences of political and economic turmoil.
Yet this crisis, more than others of recent years, could have dramatic consequences for the evolution of Turkish society and foreign policy. Turkey's EU candidacy may be irreparably damaged, nationalist tendencies reinforced, and relations with the United States, already troubled, could be further compromised. Turkey could emerge from its current travails as a less credible and less capable actor on the international scene.



