What’s At Stake in the U.S. Midterm Elections?
Editor's note: In an interview with Debating Europe, GMF's Ian Lesser discusses the likelihood of impeachment for President Trump.
Well, I don’t think there’s anything inevitable about his impeachment. On the one hand, it’s true that almost every day there’s some new revelation about the President, his background, issues concerning taxes and politics, and many things that could potentially amount to an impeachment effort in Congress. But even if the Democrats were to take back both houses of Congress it’s not clear that they really want to run on that agenda as they look forward to the 2020 elections. It’s quite possible that an impeachment attempt – and it’s very hard to do – but an unsuccessful attempt would only have the effect of energizing President Trump’s base and being counterproductive for the Democrats. Is there a possibility if some sort of smoking gun emerges that it would be very difficult – maybe even for moderate Republicans to ignore – yes, of course. But it still remains a relatively unlikely possibility, although the pressure for it has clearly mounted.