Home Debate Trackers GMF Election Series GMF Experts Campaign Trail Blog Resources
Welcome!

In the lead-up to the Presidential Election this November, media coverage around the world has been unprecedented.  Often - though not always - the trivial trumps the actual policy debate. In the context of this information overload, GMF will be tracking "What Europe Needs to Know".

Read More...

Sen. John McCain addresses the Republican National Convention

The Coming Transatlantic Crisis
The Guardian, September 2

Obama's Dream for America
The Independent, August 28

The Hidden Issue in the US Presidential Campaign
Der Spiegel Online, August 27

Reasons Europe Should Hope for
Obama Victory ...

Le Figaro, August 23


 
McCain Embraces Maverick, Reform Mantles in Accepting Nod
Lauren W. Whittington, Roll Call, September 5
John McCain's Idealistic Dilemma
David Rogers, Politico, September 4
Hot or Cool on Russia?
David Ignatius, The Washington Post, September 4
For GOP Delegates, Sarah Palin on the Ticket Is a No-Brainer
Stuart Rothenberg ,Roll Call, September 3
Palin reignites culture wars
Jim VandeHei and David Paul Kuhn , Politico, September 3
Obama sees bump among white males
Ian Swanson , The Hill, September 3
One Voice on Georgia
Fred Hiatt, The Washington Post, September 1
The ticket: McCain-Palin
Tim Grieve & Jonathan Martin, Politico, August 29
Obama’s Grand Acceptance Recalls Past, Looks to Future
Erin P. Billings and Tory Newmyer, Roll Call, August 29

 

Read More: starElection Monitor Archive star

China

There is little doubt that the U.S. and China will play key roles in shaping international diplomacy and governance in the 21st century.  Since China’s emerging economic power joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, Chinese imports to the U.S. have skyrocketed and politicians and policymakers are showing heightened interest in the future of U.S.-Chinese affairs.  As China’s economy continues to boom, military capabilities expand, and relations with Taiwan remain an unsolved challenge, politicians on either side of the Atlantic are expressing alarm. 

Enticing China to become a responsible pillar of the global economic system will prove to be one of the greatest challenges of the coming decade.  With China’s claim to a huge portion of the U.S. national debt, continuing controversies over the 2008 Olympics in Beijing, and recent polling indicating that a majority of voters view China more as an adversary than an ally, Sens. McCain and Obama will have to provide firm policy ideas on how the US will approach China in the next few years.  Sen. John McCain brought China to the forefront of the foreign-policy debate by meeting with the Dalai Lama just two weeks before the start of the Beijing Olympics, and Senator Obama has spoken with the Dalai Lama twice in recent months.  Both candidates are trying to inoculate themselves from the criticism President Bush is likely to garner from human-rights activists by attending the Olympics’ Opening Ceremony.  As the presidential candidates work to sell their foreign policy agendas in the general election, the question will be whether the U.S. will pursue a more cooperative agenda with China during the next administration.
  star Read More

 

U.S. elections speakers tour visits DC, European cities
April 7, 2008 Washington, DC - Turin - Munich - Stockholm

Munich Election Tour "We don't contribute to the American presidency, but we are certainly part of it."  Piero Gastaldo's opening remarks at an event co-sponsored by GMF and the Compagnia di San Paolo in Turin, Italy, reflected the mood seen at each stop on the German Marshall Fund's second European speakers tour on the 2008 U.S. presidential elections.  The tour brought three political-insiders from Washington, DC, to Turin, Munich, and Stockholm for a series of events on the November elections. Read More...

The race to the White House: an analysis of Super Tuesday
February 6, 2008 Berlin
On February 6, GMF Berlin, in cooperation with the U.S. Embassy in Berlin, hosted a discussion entitled "The race to the White House: an analysis of Super Tuesday." About 120 people attended a panel discussion with William Chandler, a professor at University of California in San Diego; Mr. William Drozdiak from American Council on Germany; and Mr. Ralf Beste, Marshall Memorial Fellow and a journalist with Der Spiegel in Berlin. Constanze Stelzenmüller, executive director of GMF's Berlin Office, moderated the discussion held in the State Representation of Baden-Württemberg.  Read More...
 

Transatlantic Issues
Afghanistan & NATO Climate Change Trade Russia Iran China Immigration Terrorism

Debate Trackers to be released
every two weeks.

Real Clear Politics

Election 2008

Obama

McCain

Spread

RCP National Average
48.8
43.0
Obama +5.8
Favorable Ratings
+21.4
+17.4
Obama +4.0
Intrade Market Odds
59.9
39.2
-

Electoral College

Obama

McCain

Toss Ups

RCP Electoral Count
228
185
125
No Toss Up States
273
265
-

Battleground States

Obama

McCain

Spread

Colorado
45.2
44.8
Obama +0.4
Nevada
44.3
45.3
McCain +1.0
Michigan
46.0
41.7
Obama +4.3
Ohio
43.3
44.5
McCain +1.2
Pennsylvania
47.4
42.4
Obama +5.0
Florida
43.2
46.3
McCain +3.1
More States
 
 
 

Charts | Maps | News | Latest Polls