Breakfast Roundtable Discussion with Danielle Pletka
A mere three days after President Trump is set to take a definitive decision on the future of the Iran Deal, the German Marshall Fund Paris hosted a discussion with Ms. Danielle Pletka, Senior Vice-President for foreign and defense policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), where she oversees the Institute’s work on foreign and defense issues, with a special focus on Iran, the Middle East (Syria, Israel, ISIS), and South Asia. President Trump has long criticized the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and called for the U.S. to “fix it or nix it”. May 12 could therefore see a drastic pivot away from Obama’s intended rapprochement with Tehran, especially given Iranian and European opposition to renegotiation and Trump’s strong signals that he intends to withdraw. Such a withdrawal could bring with it a range of knock-on effects, including an end to Iranian hostility to U.S. activities in Yemen and Afghanistan, and perhaps even U.S. pressure on Europe to impose sanctions on Iran in response to its ballistic missile program.
Even if the U.S. does not withdraw from the JCPOA on May 12, renowned hawk and recently appointed National Security Advisor John Bolton (senior fellow at AEI) may well adopt a more aggressive posture against what Trump views as malignant Iranian activity in the region. Whatever its specifics, the announcement made on May 12 will reverberate throughout the world of diplomacy, bringing with it significant consequences and kindling vibrant discussion.
The discussion will be held in English and under Chatham House Rule.