The German Marshall fund of the United States' Transatlantic Security and the Future of NATO program brings together on a tri-annual basis, a group of around 25 high-level American and European security experts, strategic thinkers, policy-makers and representatives from the defense industry, to develop concrete and focused policy recommendations on transatlantic security issues. The annual scenario exercise is designed in order to foster (a different type of) dialogue between the core group members in an interactive and practice-oriented manner, conducive to the emergence of new sets of ideas. The scenario technique aims to generate a range of credible scenarios and issues for transatlantic actors depending on what the international environment might look like in the future. It will not consist in a war-game, as it will not provide operational responses to these emerging challenges, but will help the participants imagine, from a long-term perspective, the strategic, political, social, economic and environmental trends that will influence the future of transatlantic security cooperation.
The three groups will explore their respective topic in a prospective manner, and try to conceive possible scenarios from a ten-year perspective:
Group A: Domestic politics and foreign policy in the European realm
Group B: Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Mali, Syria: Lessons-Learned for Transatlantic Interventions
Group C: Facing the Russian Test
If you have any questions, please contact Lélia Rousselet at +33 1 47 23 48 12 or LRousselet@gmfus.org .