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Marshall Forum on Transatlantic Affairs Agenda
Copenhagen, Denmark, October 23-26, 2008
Who is in Control of Globalization?
Transatlantic Dialogues on New Policy Initiatives
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Arrival
18:45
19:00
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Participants check-in at
Hotel 27
Løngangstræde 27
DK - 1468 Copenhagen
Phone. +45 7027 5627
Fax. +45 7027 9627
http://www.hotel27.dk
Walk to dinner site – Confederation of Danish Industry (DI)
Cocktail Reception & Welcome Dinner
Hosted by the Confederation of Danish Industry (DI)
Location: Confederation of Danish Industry, Pyramid
H.C. Andersens Boulevard 18, DK 1787 Copenhagen
Corporate Social Responsibility in an Age of Globalization
Keynote Speaker: Jesper Møller, CEO, Toms Confectionery Group & Chairman, Confederation of Danish Industry |
| 07:30–8:30 |
Breakfast
Walk to conference site – Confederation of Danish Industry (DI) |
| 09:00–10:00 |
Conference Opening
Setting the Stage – Global Challenges and Opportunities
Keynote Speaker: Steven Fries, Chief Economist of Royal Dutch Shell
An Outlook – The Shell Study on Future World Scenarios
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| 10:00–10:30 |
Coffee break |
| 10:30–12:00 |
4 parallel breakout sessions:
1) Writing in the Age of Globalization: Has the Media Profession changed?
Location: Møderum 5
| Panelists: |
Ingrid Bertram, Journalist, ARD (MMF Germany) |
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Allen Wan, News Editor, Bloomberg News (USA MMF) |
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Giuseppe Solinas, Foreign News Editor, RAI (MMF Italy) |
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Libor Stejskal, Op-ed Editor, aktualne.cz (MMF Czech Republic) |
| Moderator: |
Will Bohlen, Director of Communications, GMF |
The news game has changed. Newspapers are losing circulation, television news audiences are splintering, and the Internet is creating new access to information for citizens while also allowing them to voice their own views. Politicians and business leaders have become adept “spinners,” public relations firms are growing in power and influence, and the marketplace of ideas is increasingly crowded at both the grassroots and at the big-money levels. What is the future of the news business? What are the challenges and opportunities for news professionals and citizens alike? What are the dangers of citizens receiving information from increasingly specialized and opinionated sources? At the same time, how has the rise of the English language combined with the Internet, satellite, and cable brought the opportunity for a global upper class of media consumers?
2) Faith as a Pathway to Political Participation? - The Relationship between Government,
Politics and Religion
Location: Møderum 4
| Panelists: |
Aaron D. Ford, Attorney, Snell & Wilmer LLP (MMF USA) |
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Michael Werz, Transatlantic Fellow, GMF; Visiting Researcher, Institute for the International Study of Migration |
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Yoeri Albrecht, Journalist, Albrecht Media bv (MMF Netherlands) |
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Paul Ortega, Program Manager, Innobasque (MMF Spain) |
| Moderator: |
Rushy Højbjerg, Freelance Journalist (MMF Denmark) |
The end of the Cold War has seen a revival of ethnic and religious affiliations across the world. In places such as France, the Greater Middle East, Tibet or the Balkans, the revivals have often been politicized to exploit differences among cultures and incite violence. But in other places, such as the U.S. for example, that has not been the case; Latino heritage and Evangelical beliefs have not been overtly politicized and often serve as a pathway toward citizenship and active civic involvement.
Are religious faith and ethnic identity necessarily antithetical to Western values, such as democracy and gender equality? What is the explanation for religious and ethnic values that seem often to clash with Universalist norms and the egalitarian principle of self-government? How have “second generation” ethnic communities reconciled their religious beliefs and ethnic identity against new cultural and political contexts? And how does the resulting religious and cultural articulation of diversity, among second generation and beyond ethnic communities, shape political and civic engagement?
3) The Value of Your Money: Financial Crises in an Age of Globalization
Location: Møderum 3
| Panelists: |
Joseph Quinlan, Transatlantic Fellow, GMF; Chief Economist, Bank of America |
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Kathrin Leeb, Global Co-Head of Business Management Equity Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank (MMF Germany) |
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Daliborta Uljarević, Executive Director, Center for Civic Education (MMF Montenegro) |
| Moderator: |
Luca Di Preso, Legal Counsel, European Parliament (MMF Italy) |
The ongoing financial crisis in the U.S. and its affect on Europe has compromised the entire world economy and political establishment. Until quite recently governments around the globe appeared to be tending toward the liberal economic practices of the U.S., with its dynamic markets and highly deregulated financial system, and away from strict oversight and planning. Now that trend appears over. Banks are collapsing and central banks across the Atlantic are taking to ever divergent monetary strategies. As the dollar grows weaker and appears to be losing its leading role on the financial markets in light of the heavy and ever growing public deficit of the United States, Countries around the world are turning to the Euro as the new global currency. Governments are busy coming up with bail-out packages and revising their regulatory policies. What happened? Is the American regulatory and economic model seriously in jeopardy? Are the U.S. set to lose their dominat role in the financial markets (end of British empire syndrome)? Do the U.S. and Europe need to reexamine their individual regulatory and economic models in order to maintain each others lead role in the world economy? Should the U.S. and the EU develop a new common regulatory platform, particularly in terms of prudential supervision? Can Europe afford to devise unilateral regulatory responses? Can the U.S. and Europe afford to have competing currencies? How should government and the public respond?
4) Fleeing from Nature: Climate change-induced Migration in a Global Context
Location: Møderum 1
| Panelists: |
Marc Stal, Research Associate, Institute for Environment and Human Security, United Nations University |
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Navneet Singh Narula, Director, United Sikhs (MMF USA) |
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Cristian Ghinea, Editor, Weekly Magazine (MMF Romania) |
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Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, Member, European Parliament (MMF Netherlands) |
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Giuseppe Battaglia, Head of International Agreements Section, International Cooperation Office, Carabinieri General HQ (MMF Italy) |
| Moderator: |
Astrid Ziebarth, Program Associate, Immigration Program, GMF |
In 2005 Hurricane Katrina brought to the world’s notice a new kind of displaced person—the ‘environmental’ refugee. By some estimates, over the next fifty years up to a billion people worldwide will be displaced from their homes, due to water shortages, deteriorating arable land and rising sea levels. While estimates vary as to the severity of the problem, the cost of doing nothing is high. Are policy makers on either side of the Atlantic prepared for the possibility of climate change-induced migration patterns? Which areas around the world are most susceptible to forced migration? Where will the ‘environmental’ refugees go? What impact will those migrant populations have on global security? Can Europe and the U.S. withstand the potential internal political stresses created by this new kind of migration?
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| 12:30–14:30 |
Lunch hosted by Ms. Pia Allerslev,
Mayor, Cultural and Recreational Committee, Copenhagen
Location: Copenhagen City Hall |
| 15:00–16:30 |
A Transatlantic Player at Work: GMFs Programs
Location: Confederation of Danish Industry (DI)
4 parallel breakout sessions:
1) Europe’s Members & Europe’s Neighbors: Wider Europe - Regional Cooperation &
Democracy Building: Lessons Learned
Location: Møderum 5
| Panelists: |
Arnaud Danjean, Director, E2L Consulting (MMF France) |
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Ilgar Mammadov, Director, Baku Political Research and Advocacy Institute |
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Szabolcs Kerék-Bárczy, Spokesperson, Hungarian Democratic Forum (MMF Hungary) |
| Moderator: |
Peter Van Praagh, Senior Director of Wider Europe, GMF |
After the Cold War, NATO and the EU opened their doors to Central and Eastern Europe. As NATO played a key role in taking the security issue off the table, the EU assumed most of the responsibility for helping to transform post-communist societies into liberal democratic ones. However, current policies toward Europe's periphery seem to be increasingly less coordinated. Both the U.S. and Europe are distracted by internal policy matters. In addition, it is more difficult to stabilize the Eurasian region, sandwiched between an unstable Middle East to the south and an increasingly hostile Russia to the north. While old policy tools developed for Central and Eastern Europe a decade ago might still be effective in the Balkans, they do not seem to work in countries such as Georgia, Ukraine, and Moldova. In addition, their claim to be part of Europe is more tenuous, and the perceived Western imperative to help is less obvious. But the conflict between Russia and Georgia that erupted into a war this fall captured the world’s attention and raises questions about not only the future of the South Caucasus but also Western policy-making toward the Former Soviet Union as a whole. What should the new rationale for enlarging NATO and the EU be? And how can democracy and prosperity now be extended to the East?
2) Transatlantic Reactions to Rise of Asia
Location: Møderum 1
| Panelists: |
Andrew Small, Transatlantic Fellow, GMF |
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Kevin Cottrell, Vice President, Leadership Programs, Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce (MMF USA) |
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Michito Tsuruoka, Special Adviser, Embassy of Japan in Belgium (invited) |
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Helga Flores Trejo, Director, Heinrich Boell Foundation North America (MMF Germany) |
| Moderator: |
Hendrik Spiering, Science Editor, NRC Handlesblad (MMF Netherlands) |
Asia is becoming ever more important to the transatlantic agenda. While the rise of China has been the biggest story, India’s rise and the ‘normalization’ of Japan as a political and military actor herald the arrival of three major powers on the world stage. In the fields of economics, trade, energy and climate change, Asia is already a central part of the transatlantic conversation. But as economic weight translates into political clout in the Middle East, Africa and elsewhere, Europe and the United States face the broader challenge of how to adapt the Western-led global order to deal effectively with these new power centers. What are the geopolitical roles of these regional players? What is their real economic weight? And how should Europe and the Unites States respond to these challenges and opportunities?
3) Afghanistan, Russia and other Foreign Policy Challenges: Public Opinions and Politics
Location: Møderum 3
| Panelists: |
Gitte Lillelund Bech, Member, Danish Parliament |
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Srdjan Gligorijevic, Director of Analysis, International and Security Affairs Centre (MMF Serbia) |
| Moderator: |
John K. Glenn, Director of Foreign Policy, GMF |
This session will draw on the 2008 Transatlantic Trends annual public opinion survey to discuss American and European attitudes toward American and European attitudes toward the transatlantic relationship, more specifically perceptions of international threats, such as terrorism, energy dependence, immigration, attitudes toward the EU as a global actor in development, trade, peacekeeping, reconstruction, and combat, transatlantic cooperation on international challenges such as Afghanistan, Iraq and Iran and views toward Russia.
4) The Cities We Live In: Sustainability and International Issues
Location: Møderum 4
| Panelists: |
Julie Wagner, Non-Resident Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution |
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Hubert Julien-Laferrieré, Mayor, City of Lyon (MMF France) |
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Julia F. Orozco, Principal Analyst, Chief Executive Office, LA County (MMF USA) |
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Martin Krejza, Mayor, Town of Vysoke Myto (MMF Czech Republic) |
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Eleftherios Stavropoulos, Special Secretary for Competitiveness, Ministry of Development (MMF Greece) |
| Moderator: |
Brent Riddle, Program Officer, Comparative Domestic Policy Program, GMF |
Cities and urban regions around the world are growing rapidly because they generally offer an abundance of economic opportunities and the promise of a better life. The UN estimates that over 500 urban areas will have a population of more than a million by the year 2015, compared to 328 such cities in 1996. The integration of human, economic, and technological resources in cities requires the provision of
energy, water, sanitation, communications systems, educational institutions, recreational space, and housing, as well as roads and urban transportation systems. Cities that successfully provide and maintain all of these critical resources (and other important amenities) are often the strongest competitors in the increasingly global
economy. However, poor city planning and administration threaten economic efficiency, social equity, and overall sustainability, often leading to environmental degradation, which negatively impacts public health and competitiveness. For example, urban sprawl, congestion, and long commutes have had a major impact on public health both in Europe and the U.S.. Recent public health studies have
identified poor land use and transportation/congestion as factors in childhood obesity, adult onset diabetes, lung disease, etc. How are cities and urban regions in the United States and Europe grappling with similar economic and social challenges brought about by rising global competition and societal change? For example, what factors play into the debates on regional land use and transportation planning? And where can some of the recent regional energy initiatives be found?
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| 17:00-18:30 |
Free time |
| 19:00 |
Cocktail Reception & Dinner |
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Transatlantic Challenges: A Personal View From the Top of Europe
Speaker: Uffe Ellemann-Jensen, Foreign Minister of Denmark (1982-1993)
Location: Confederation of Danish Industry
H.C. Andersens Boulevard 18, DK 1787 Copenhagen |
| 22:00-24:00 |
Night Owl Session: Politics At Play – The U.S. Presidential Elections
Location: Møderum 4
| Panelists: |
Cam Ward, State Representative, State of Alabama (MMF USA) |
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Scott Klug, Director of Public Affairs, Foley & Lardner LLP |
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Jesper Pedersen, Foreign Policy Advisor, Office of U.S. Congressman Robert Wexler |
| Moderator: |
Jean-Michel Demetz, Foreign Affairs Deputy Editor, L’Express (MMF France) |
The upcoming U.S. presidential election has generated an unprecedented interest around the world. After eight years of a Republican administration people in the United States and around the world seem to be ready for change. With Barack Obama as the first African-American presidential nominee for a major political party, and 72-year old John McCain, joined by Sarah Palin on the Republican ticket, race, age and gender have become qualifying markers. What were their campaign strategies? And how have they handled such current developments like the financial crisis or the Russia-Georgia conflict? While the U.S. has spent considerable attention on foreign affairs, collaboration with international partners has not always been smooth. What are the predictions for who will lead the next American administration? And what does that mean for foreign affairs?
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| 07:00–08:45 |
Breakfast |
07:30–08:30
08:45
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Rebuilding Trust and Understanding Between the Western & the Muslim World: What
Role for Transatlantic Organizations? - a participatory breakfast discussion (optional)
Location: Hotel 27 - Honey Ryders Lounge
| Panelist: |
Jean-Christophe Bas, Strategic Partnership Manager, Alliance of Civilizations, United Nations (MMF France) |
| Moderator: |
Michael Matthiessen, Personal Representative of the SG/HR for Parliamentary Affairs (CFSP), Council of the European, Council of the European Union (MMF Denmark) |
The Alliance of Civilizations (AoC) aims to improve understanding and cooperative relations among nations and peoples across cultures and religions and, in the process, to help counter the forces that fuel polarization and extremism. It was established in 2005, at the initiative of the Governments of Spain and Turkey, under the auspices of the United Nations. In April 2007, the United Nations Secretary-General appointed Jorge Sampaio, former President of Portugal, as High Representative for the Alliance. What can be done concretely to facilitate a greater understanding and dialogue?
Walk to conference site – Confederation of Danish Industry (DI)
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| 09:00–10:00 |
Understanding Global Climate Challenges
Location: Confederation of Danish Idustry (DI), Pyramid
Keynote Speaker: Connie Hedegaard, Minister for Climate and Energy, Denmark (MMF Denmark)
From Bali to the 2009 UN Summit in Denmark – Understanding Our Climate Challenges |
| 10:00–10:30 |
Coffee break |
| 10:30–12:00 |
4 parallel breakout sessions:
1) Opportunities and Challenges for Transatlantic Cooperation on the Road from Bali to
Copenhagen
Location: Møderum 1
| Panelists: |
Michael Starbaeck Christensen, Advisor, Climate Division, DK Prime Minister’s Office (MMF Denmark) |
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Andrzej Blachowicz, Expert of International Cooperation, KASHUE (MMF Poland) |
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Joel Beauvais, Chief Counsel for the Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming, U.S. Congress |
| Moderator: |
Benjamin Goerlach, Advisor, German Emissions Trading Authority (MMF Germany) |
Europe has been a leader in developing solutions to climate change. European policy makers have set specific targets and timetables for reducing emissions, and have established an EU-wide emissions trading market as well as strong policies to encourage the use of renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies. What experiences can Europeans share with the U.S.? What issues do European climate negotiators hope to tackle by COP15 to create a strong future climate agreement? The U.S. has not yet passed legislation to establish an economy-wide climate program – and a new U.S. administration will only be just stepping into office in early 2009. How will these realities affect the U.S. ability to commit to a new comprehensive climate agreement in Copenhagen at the end of 2009? What role does the U.S. Congress play in shaping the positions of the U.S. climate negotiating team and the climate treat ratification process? What opportunities and challenges does this create for the international climate negotiations?
2) Fuel Versus Food Versus Forests: Meeting the Demands for Energy Without Creating
a Global Food Crisis and Destroying the World’s Forests
Location: Møderum 5
| Panelists: |
Anders Christian Ulrich, Business Development Manager, Ramboll Group (MMF Denmark) |
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Michael Streck, Specialist, Carbon International |
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Barbara Botos, Strategic and Environmental Manager, Municipality of Tatabánya (MMF Slovakia) |
| Moderator: |
Joe Guinan, Senior Program Officer, Economic Policy Program, GMF |
With ethanol and biodiesel coming under increasing criticism for driving up food prices and putting biodiversity at risk, policy makers, analysts and scientists are shifting their focus to the bigger picture: how to feed a future world of 9.5 billion people while at the same time taking into consideration climate change, bio-diversity, and land conservation? Next-generation biofuels—algae, forest waste products—offer some real potential climate/energy benefits, while Agriculture policy is beginning to intersect with climate change in other ways than simply through biofuels. If food production is to increase without cutting down forests, investments in agricultural technology may be necessary rather than traditional farm subsidies. Meanwhile, researchers are beginning to link up trade and climate models to see where weather effects will have an impact and assess where food production should occur in the future under various scenarios, thereby investigating whether current agriculture and trade policies are helping or hindering food security goals. This session will look at some of the forward-looking and innovative developments at the intersection of agriculture, energy, and climate but also work out some of the differences in the U.S. and European challenges and opportunities.
3) The Nexus between Trade, Economic Opportunities, and Climate Change
Location: Møderum 4
| Panelists: |
David McIntosh, Council & Legislative Assistant, Office Senator Liebermann, Capitol Hill |
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Frank van den Heuvel, Head of Corporate Affairs, Delta N.V. (MMF Netherlands) |
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Dimitris Georgopoulos, Relationship Manager, Piraeus Bank (MMF Greece) |
| Moderator: |
Jennifer Hillman, Member, WTO Appellate Body; Transatlantic Fellow, GMF |
At the recent Bali climate change meetings, trade ministers began a dialogue on climate change exploring the linkages between trade, investment and climate change. This act demonstrated that people have realized that the challenge of climate change must be addressed more broadly than simply among environment ministers. What are some of the challenges and opportunities that arise at the interface between trade, economics and climate change? What trade policy initiatives might succeed in fostering progress towards the objectives of both the trade and climate change communities? Are there elements of trade or investment law that represent genuine barriers to climate change objectives? What role does the private sector play? And, in looking for trade and climate change synergies and solutions, how might we ensure that they genuinely assist the world community in advancing human development, particularly in developing and least developed countries?
4) Does Oil Rule the World: Energy & Security
Location: Møderum 3
| Panelists: |
Thierry Legendre, Policy Advisor, Private Office of the Secretary General,
Policy Planning Unit, NATO |
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Ireneusz Fidos, Desk Officer for Kazakhstan and Energy Policy in the Caspian Region, EU/DG External Relations External (MMF Poland) |
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Adolfo Calatrava, Researcher, Universidad de Granada (MMF Spain) |
| Moderator: |
Chad Evans, Vice President for Strategic Initiatives, Council on Competitiveness (MMF USA) |
Gas and oil are popular and rare commodities these days. As western countries are increasingly importing their energy, as pipelines get built through volatile regions, the correlation between energy needs, national security concerns and climate change ecomes obvious. Some argue that climate change – such as rising sea levels, extreme weather events – can be a threat multiplier, aggravating conditions that could lead to failed states or breed extremism and terrorism. Russia’s role in channeling energy supplies and the interplay between political and business interests shows not only the relevance of who owns the production fields but also who operates the pipelines. Remote areas such as the Arctic have also been recognized as of strategic importance. Who are the key players in this debate? And what are some of the geopolitical interests that shape the energy and climate debate?
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| 12:00–14:00 |
Networking Lunch
Location: Confederation of the Danish Industries (DI),
H.C. Andersens Boulevard 18, DK 1787 Copenhagen |
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Afternoon Site Visits
I. Going North in Denmark – Sun & Art - Visit to the VELUX solar company and Louisiana Modern Art Museum, Humlebaek
II. Watching Windmills - Boat tour hosted by DONG Energy Company (Led by MMF Michael Starbaeck Christensen and MMF Michael Helbo)
III. City Tour of Copenhagen by foot & boat (Led by MMF Gitte Lillelund Bech)
IV. Guided jogging tour of Copenhagen on the Run - a guided jogging tour of Copenhagen (distance btw 5-10 km) with architectural highlights (Led by MMF Jakob Nielsen)
V. Global Player and Global Village – Visit to Dyrberg Kern Company and colorful Nørrebro neighborhood (Led by MMF Rushy Højbjerg)
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| 19:00 |
Depart Hotel and Transfer to Dinner Location |
| 20:00 |
Reception and Dinner at the National Opera
Keynote Speaker: David Stern, Independent Writer |
| 22:00-22:30 |
Departure by boat back to Copenhagen Harbor
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| 08:00–09:15 |
Breakfast |
| 09:30–10:30 |
Wrap-Up Session
Location:
Hotel 27, Honey Ryders Lounge |
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