Follow GMF
GMF Blog
On Defense, France Bites the Bullet, But Avoids Strategic Insolvency May 7, 2013
Iceland’s Recovery Saga Presents Opportunities for Brussels, Washington—and Beijing May 6, 2013
Which Way Forward for Europe’s Hybrid Regimes? May 2, 2013
The Arab Revolts and the Liberal Order May 2, 2013
Events
GMF celebrates its 40 year history and Founder and Chairman, Dr. Guido Goldman at Gala Dinner May 09, 2013 / Washington, DCGMF held a celebratory gala dinner at the United States Institute of Peace in Washington, Wednesday May 8.
In this podcast, GMF Vice President of Programs Ivan Vejvoda discusses last month's historic agreement to normalize relations between Kosovo and Serbia.
Anchor Elaine Reyes speaks with Andrew Small, Transatlantic Fellow of the Asia Program for the German Marshall Fund, about Beijing's potential role in brokering peace between Israel and Palestine
Publications Archive
How China Will Change the Global Political MapMarch 25, 2013 / Martin Jacques
This policy brief looks at the influence that China is likely to have on democracy around the world.
Brussels Forum ViewsMarch 19, 2013 / Martin Jacques
This collection from the 2013 Brussels Forum examines the theme “The Fragility of the Global System.”
The Mediterranean Region in a Multipolar World: Evolving Relations with Russia, China, India, and BrazilFebruary 19, 2013 / Vladimir Bakhtin, Arlene Clemesha, Li Guofu, Daniela Huber, P.R. Kumaraswamy
This policy paper looks at the roles of rising powers in the Middle East and North Africa.
Welcome Home? Challenges and Chances of Return MigrationJanuary 18, 2013 / Hanna-Maija Kuhn, Isabell Zwania-Rößler, Karen Krüger, Karoline Popp, Magdalena Lesińska, Paweł Kaczmarczyk
This paper analyzes return migration from a variety of perspectives.
Still Digging: Extractive Industries, Resource Curses, and Transnational Governance in the AnthropoceneJanuary 15, 2013 / Stacy D. VanDeveer
This policy paper examines the economic, environmental, and political role of mining and other resource extraction.
Democracy as Self-CorrectionDecember 10, 2012 / Ivan Krastev
This policy paper outlines the current state of the concept of democracy around the world.
How the European Crisis Impacts ChinaNovember 30, 2012 / Qin Yaqing
This policy brief argues that the European crisis has improved China’s position in the global arena.
China and India: New Actors in the Southern AtlanticNovember 29, 2012 / Emiliano Alessandri, William Inboden, Dhruva Jaishankar, Joseph Quinlan, Andrew Small, Amy Studdart
This policy paper examines the role of China and India in Latin America and Africa, and the implications for the United States and Europe.
U.S.-China Economic Relations in the Wake of the U.S. ElectionNovember 29, 2012 / Bruce Stokes
This policy brief looks at likely pillars of the Obama administration’s economic policy toward China in its second term.
Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy OrderNovember 27, 2012 / Ted Piccone
This policy paper looks at the way Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey choose to support the international mechanisms to strengthen human rights.
Global Swing States and the Financial OrderNovember 27, 2012 / Joseph Quinlan
This policy paper looks at how Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey view the global financial system.
Global Swing States and the Maritime OrderNovember 27, 2012 / James Kraska
This policy paper looks at the maritime influence of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey.
Global Swing States and the Non-Proliferation OrderNovember 27, 2012 / Megan Garcia
This policy paper examines the non-proliferation policies of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey.
Global Swing States: Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey, and the Future of International OrderNovember 27, 2012 / Daniel M. Kliman, Richard Fontaine
This policy paper argues that U.S. decisions today will influence whether Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey contribute to the global order tomorrow.
Global Swing States and the Trade OrderNovember 27, 2012 / Jennifer Hillman
This policy paper looks at the influence of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Turkey on international trade.
Toward Strategic Cooperation between India, the United States, and EuropeOctober 24, 2012 / Dhruva Jaishankar
This policy brief recounts discussions from the September 2012 India Trilateral Forum.
International Trends: Korea 2012October 04, 2012 / Amy Studdart, Constanze Stelzenmueller
This survey captures perceptions about how South Korea, Europe, and the United States are responding to global power shifts.
Book Chapter: Europe in Indian StrategySeptember 27, 2012 / Dhruva Jaishankar
Ties between Europe and India remain weak for a variety of economic, politico-military, and socio-cultural reasons.
Battle on Top of the World: Rising Tensions in Tajikistan’s Pamir RegionAugust 29, 2012 / Sébastien Peyrouse
This policy brief looks at risks to stability in a country in Afghanistan's neighborhood.
Global Food Insecurity and “Political Malnutrition”June 13, 2012 / Frederick S. Tipson
This policy brief examines the governance changes necessary to increase food security.
The Wider Front: The Indian Ocean and AirSea BattleMay 31, 2012 / Iskander Rehman
At the heart of Washington’s military “pivot” toward Asia is a revolutionary new concept: AirSea Battle. What will be the future role of the Indian Ocean in the event of a Sino-U.S. conflict?
The Geopolitics of Chinese Access DiplomacyMay 29, 2012 / Rajeev Ranjan Chaturvedy, Guy M. Snodgrass
This policy brief addresses China's aggressive pursuit of natural resources while expanding its transport networks and points out the need to better understand Chinese access diplomacy in the Asia-Pacific.
Prospects for Establishing a U.S.-Australia-Singapore Security Arrangement: The Australian PerspectiveMay 29, 2012 / Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi
The United States and Australia should consider establishing a multilateral security arrangement with select Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) states. Singapore, in particular, would be an ideal and realistic partner. Singapore’s military capability and dynamic foreign relations network would prove invaluable to the Australia, New Zealand, United States Security Treaty (ANZUS), and a trilateral alliance of this nature would serve to enhance stability in the Southeast Asia region, Oceania, and Indian Ocean.
Japan’s China Policy — Engagement, but for How Long?May 29, 2012 / Victoria Tuke
The difficult strategic decisions facing Tokyo cannot forever be postponed. China’s economic growth and military modernization continue at full speed, with little sign of a dramatic slowdown. Japan needs to pursue a careful balance, through which stable and mutually beneficial relationships are maintained with both Beijing and Washington.
What Next for NATOMay 23, 2012 / Mark R. Jacobson, Sarah Raine, Javid Ahmad, Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, Joshua W. Walker, Emiliano Alessandri
This policy brief looks at current and future challenges for NATO from a variety of perspectives.
China’s Long Road to a Low-Carbon Economy: An Institutional AnalysisMay 22, 2012 / Philip Andrews-Speed
This paper looks at the progress that China is making, or not, toward reducing carbon emissions.
Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource NationalismMay 18, 2012 / David Humphreys
This paper examines trends in mining and considers their implications for transatlantic mining companies and for the availability of mineral supplies in Europe and North America.
The Global Resource Nexus: The Struggles for Land, Energy, Food, Water, and MineralsMay 15, 2012 / Philip Andrews-Speed, Raimund Bleischwitz, Tim Boersma, Corey Johnson, Geoffrey Kemp, Stacy D. VanDeveer
This study addresses challenges arising from unprecedented global demand for land, energy, food, water, and minerals.
From Arms Racing to “Dam Racing” in Asia: How to Contain the Geopolitical Risks of the Dam-Building CompetitionMay 03, 2012 / Brahma Chellaney
This paper warns that the struggle for water is now likely to define many inter-country relationships in Asia.
When Sisyphus met Icarus: EU-China Economic Relations during the Eurozone CrisisMay 02, 2012 / Fredrik Erixon
This policy brief examines how China, the EU, and EU member states work with each other economically.
Korean Hallyu in Trade PolicyApril 25, 2012 / Patrick Messerlin
This policy brief looks at South Korea's use of preferential trade agreements.
Japan, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the United StatesApril 06, 2012 / Bruce Stokes
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a wide-ranging trade initiative that is intended not only to eliminate tariffs but also to offer greater protection for intellectual property and to lower non-tariff trade barriers. The Japanese government’s decision in November 2011 to consider joining the negotiation has dramatically raised U.S. stakes in the deal. And the Tokyo government’s desire to join the TPP talks has sparked a divisive debate in Japan. In the end, whether Japan is in or out of TPP will come down to politics in both Washington and Tokyo.
The Pacific Pivot and the WestMarch 19, 2012 / Stephen Szabo
This Brussels Forum paper says that the United States should not forfeit Europe for Asia.
Navigating a Nuclear Minefield: The United States, Europe, and IranMarch 19, 2012 / Nicholas Siegel
This Brussels Forum paper argues that sanctions will not be effective against Iran.
From Transition to Transformation: Europe’s Afghanistan Decade?March 19, 2012 / Javid Ahmad, Louise Langeby
The Afghanistan war represents NATO’s greatest international test since the Cold War. However, without discrediting the efforts made by the ISAF mission’s EU member states, the EU has, in certain respects, punched below its weight in Afghanistan. European initiatives such as the EUPOL have proved inadequate. The EU must step up its efforts in Afghanistan to focus more on the country’s transformation into a stable and self-sufficient state by helping it develop its economy, improve its police force, ensure long-term security cooperation, and constructively engage the region, with a particular focus on Pakistan.
The Geostrategic Implications of the Competition for Natural Resources: The Transatlantic DimensionMarch 12, 2012 / François Heisbourg
This paper describes the contemporary competition for natural resources.
The Shifting Tectonics of Japan One Year After March 11, 2011March 08, 2012 / Lully Miura, Joshua W. Walker
The danger for Japan is that after the one-year anniversary of 3/11 passes, complacency and depression will replace the resolve and national unity pledged in the immediate aftermath of the crisis. The political incentives to become further insulated and isolated run in the opposite direction of Japan’s national interest. Growth through closer ties with the developing world and greater competition at home offer the best future for Japan. Political leadership is necessary to pursue this path, but without it, Japan risks another decade of relative decline even without another tragedy.
India and the European Union: Dim ProspectsMarch 08, 2012 / Mohan Guruswamy
This policy brief looks at the future of India's relations with the EU.
Crisis Invigorates Japan-Europe Cooperation, But for How Long?March 05, 2012 / Satoru Mori
This policy brief looks at the impacts of the euro crisis on Japan.
Cooperating with China on IranJanuary 19, 2012 / Erica Downs
Eliciting cooperation from Beijing on Iran is challenging for Washington because China’s equities in Iran, views of the efficacy of sanctions, and prioritization of the Iranian nuclear issue on its foreign policy agenda are different from those of Washington. As Washington once again seeks support from Beijing for its efforts to pressure Iran, it is worthwhile to examine recent U.S.-China cooperation on the Iranian nuclear issue and why that cooperation occurred.
A Europe that Can Still Say No? China and the Eurozone CrisisJanuary 09, 2012 / Andrew Small
China’s potential involvement in the eurozone crisis has triggered a wave of speculation about the political, economic, and strategic implications of China “buying up” or “bailing out” Europe. But the reality has been less dramatic. China did not swing in behind the European Financial Stability Facility. There has been no sign of the EU offering major concessions to China in the hope that this will smooth the way for Chinese cash. The broader state of EU-China relations will depend significantly on how China and the EU deal with each other through a period that is not just an economic crisis for Europe but an existential one.
Looking East: The “Arab Spring” and the Relevance of East AsiaDecember 14, 2011 / Hassan Mneimneh
In these times of historic change affecting the Arab world, the moment may be opportune for the Middle East and East Asia to upgrade their engagement, bringing to the fore models of evolution and achievement that may benefit the new political and social order bound to emerge in the aftermath of the uprisings. The Asian experience of negotiating native authenticity and a modernity originating from the West has itself the potential of resetting the debate affecting the Arab world today.
The Arab Awakening: Three PerspectivesDecember 14, 2011 / Wendy Chamberlin
The political earthquake shaking the Middle East and North Africa will have as much significance for U.S., European, and Asian interests in the Middle East as did the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union. What is the impact of the events of the Arab Awakening on Asian, European, and U.S. policy?
Securing Access to Critical Raw Materials: What Role for the WTO in Tackling Export Restrictions? Four Proposals for a Transatlantic AgendaDecember 08, 2011 / Stormy-Annika Mildner
This paper outlines proposals for dealing with export restrictions on critical raw materials....
Azerbaijan-Turkey Energy Cooperation: Back to a Strategic AgendaNovember 16, 2011 / Fariz Ismailzade
This policy brief explores relations between Turkey and Azerbaijan, and their impact on Europe's energy supply.
Managing China’s Rise: A Strategic Imperative for U.S.-Europe Cooperation in the Global CommonsOctober 20, 2011 / Abraham Denmark
Given the remarkable speed and breadth of China’s rising power, and its enigmatic approach to several key international issues, successfully managing China’s rise will be essential to preserving the long-term health and success of the international system. The global commons (the high seas, air, space, and cyberspace) offer an excellent opportunity for the United States and Europe to bring a strategic element to efforts to manage China’s rise.
Foreign Investment in India after the Global Financial CrisisSeptember 21, 2011 / Ashley Thomas Lenihan
Foreign direct investment both into, and out of, India has yet to recover to the levels reached before the global financial crisis. Both formal and informal barriers to investment remain challenges for foreign investors in India. Given the importance of such investment for future Indian growth — and relations between India and the transatlantic community — the Indian government should continue to seek regulatory and legal reforms that enable greater FDI flows.
Transatlantic Trends 2011September 14, 2011 / Zsolt Nyiri, Ben Veater-Fuchs
The 2011 edition of Transatlantic Trends paints a picture of a complex relationship between the United States and Europe and how they respond to global challenges....
Global Shift: The Challenges of Energy Interdependence and Climate ChangeSeptember 08, 2011 / Hanns W. Maull
This paper proposes a different way to address the intertwined challenges of energy and climate change, namely through negotiation and joint implementation of an energy price trajectory....
Power and Values in a Changing Asia: Debating Australia’s Strategic FutureSeptember 07, 2011 / Andrew Shearer
Australia is at the forefront of the debate over how Western democracies should balance and manage their alliances with the United States, on the one hand, and their growing economic ties with China, on the other. There are multiple challenges facing the Australia-U.S. alliance flowing from the rise of China. How will Australian diplomatic, economic, and security dynamics challenge other Western democracies as they work to define their interests vis-à-vis the world’s current superpower and its ever-rising challenger?
Moving EU-Pakistan Relations Beyond WordsAugust 26, 2011 / Shada Islam
Despite widespread acknowledgement that a long-term partnership between Pakistan and the European Union is desirable, neither Islamabad nor Brussels has invested enough in engaging one another. Although policy coordination remains a challenge, Europe has key assets that it can leverage, including its reputation for supporting civil society groups, development initiatives, and democratic institutions. As Pakistan struggles, the EU can become an important niche player.
The Roles China Ought to Play in the WorldAugust 01, 2011 / Shi Yinhong
What roles should a rising China play in the world? They should include being, at the very least: 1) a provider of transnational values concerning economic growth, liberty, social justice, and environmental protection; 2) a strategic great power with the capacity to redefine the China-U.S. relationship; 3) a bearer of international responsibility in various functional areas, requiring a substantial contribution to the global political economy, security, and the environment; and 4) a courageous but prudent restrainer of the preponderant power, for the sake of world liberty and justice.
China’s Economic Remodeling and EuropeJuly 28, 2011 / Paweł Świeboda
China often stresses that there are similarities between its new five year economic plan and the Europe 2020 strategy — both of which are focused on green, intelligent, and inclusive growth. The perceived parallels between the two programs can be usefully exploited in the EU-China dialogue both to address areas of contention and to find areas for cooperation.
Chinese FDI in the United States and Europe: Implications and Opportunities for Transatlantic CooperationJuly 28, 2011 / Thilo Hanemann
Chinese direct investment in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries is taking off, and flows to America and Europe are poised to grow substantially over the next decade. The change from one-way to two-way direct investment flows will transform U.S. and European economic relations with China in the years ahead and openness to Chinese FDI, and the implications thereof, will become an important topic on the transatlantic policy agenda.
Understanding Thailand’s Ongoing Political Crisis: Wider Implications for Southeast Asia and the WestJuly 01, 2011 / Edmund Malesky
What is at stake in Thailand is more than just a narrative of class conflict. We are seeing a fundamental debate over the very essence of democracy itself, drawing on debates that have consumed political theorists for centuries. Calls for immediate elections to restore the legitimacy of the regime, while an enticing tonic, miss this vital point. The situation in Thailand cannot be repaired until all actors are able to agree on a system of government that balances popular will with adequate safeguards for minority interests.
Addressing Pakistan’s Sovereignty DeficitJune 27, 2011 / C. Christine Fair
The Pakistan government’s inability to provide for the security and prosperity of its own people has led to questions about its sovereignty, whether in terms of its monopoly of violence, fiscal solvency, or human security. But rather than asking questions of the Pakistani government, Pakistanis are content with blaming Washington for the country’s ills. Pakistan can certainly do better by following India’s example of self-sufficient economic growth. Pakistan can only escape the leash of donors and manipulative outsiders by raising revenue, securing its territory, providing for its citizens, and becoming a responsible international actor.
Will China Rule the World? A View from New DelhiJune 08, 2011 / Indrani Bagchi
It may be tempting in light of China’s growing power and reach to imagine a world in which China is dominant. Although China’s policies of noninterference might seem appealing to many developing countries, its demands for obedience and its state-led growth will threaten the liberal capitalist order advanced by the West. China’s growth also masks its continuing vulnerability to economic shocks, social instability, and ethnic separatism. Internationally, China will see its ambitions constrained by rising powers along its periphery, the U.S. presence in Asia, and its support for failing states such as Pakistan and North Korea.
From Down Under to Top Center: Australia, the United States, and this Century’s Special RelationshipMay 26, 2011 / Iskander Rehman
This paper argues that Australia will emerge as the United States' strongest ally in the Asia-Pacific region.
The Politics of India’s Unfinished Economic ReformsMay 13, 2011 / Swaminathan S. Anklesaria Aiyar
Despite at least two decades of reforms, the liberalization of India’s economy is incomplete. This is primarily a function of politics. Indian political leaders have few incentives to advance the reform agenda given India’s high growth rate, and instead prefer handouts in the form of welfare schemes and employment guarantees. While some advances are being made, future economic liberalization in India will likely be hesitant, episodic, and half-hearted.
Why Pakistan is Neither a Democracy Nor (Yet?) an AutocracyApril 07, 2011 / Christophe Jaffrelot
Pakistan’s political development since its independence — fluctuating between imperfect democracy and uncertain autocracy — can be attributed to several factors. Democracy suffered as a result of Pakistan’s colonial history, the process of Partition with India, and ethnic politics in the early years of the country’s independence. At the same time, truly autocratic forces have been held back by the resilience of Pakistan’s political parties, its civil society, and its judiciary. Yet there are reasons to be pessimistic about Pakistan’s future.
ASEAN’s Human Rights Agenda: Modest Beginning, Reasonable Prospects – and How the West Can HelpMarch 01, 2011 / Rizal Sukma
In 2003 the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), for the first time, agreed to include a human rights agenda in its official area of cooperation. How did that change of attitude come about? Does such a change suggest a greater adoption of liberal values by ASEAN so that a closer convergence with its Western partners becomes more likely? What can ASEAN’s partners in the West do in order to assist the Association to implement its commitment to better promote and protect human rights?
Next Steps on Burma: Squaring Interests and Values in Developing Western Approaches to South-East Asia’s Most Troubled StateMarch 01, 2011 / Benedict Rogers
Some might argue that Burma is a country where interests and values collide: the short-term commercial and energy interests in oil, gas, and gems versus the promotion of democratic values. However it is, in fact, in the long-term interests of both the West and the region to ensure Burma becomes a peaceful, stable country with a responsible, legitimate government.
Reversing Pakistan’s Drift Toward RadicalismFebruary 23, 2011 / Hasan Askari Rizvi
Radicalism has permeated the Pakistani society at large – including government institutions – and now represents the dominant worldview in the country. The social and educational changes advanced by the government of General Zia ul-Haq in the 1980s has severe implications for Pakistan’s domestic security and external relations today, and can only be reversed through a similar generational process involving educational reform and socio-economic development.
Will Rising India Join The West?November 01, 2010 / Raja Mohan
Sustained high economic growth rates, averaging around 8 percent in the first decade of the 21st century, have made India one of the top economies in the world. With current GDP at over US$1 trillion and per capita income at over $1,200, India is now the world’s 11th largest economy. In purchasing power parity terms, India puts itself in the top five. The economic slowdown in the West and the prospect of China’s growth rate decelerating to single digits might well make India the fastest growing economy in the world in the not-too-distant future.
Why the NATO Nuclear Debate Is Relevant to Japan and Vice VersaOctober 08, 2010 / Michito Tsuruoka
The debate within the NATO alliance on nuclear issues is increasingly seen to be of direct relevance to Japan. In both NATO and the U.S.-Japan alliance, expanding consultations to include nonnuclear elements such as missile defense would strengthen existing relations. Additionally, by sharing their understanding of nuclear issues with one another, experts in the United States and its allied countries could help create a basis on which the credibility of extended deterrence can be maintained.
Toward a Transatlantic Approach to Technology Transfers to ChinaJuly 09, 2010 / May-Britt U. Stumbaum
After years of clear distinctions between friend and foe during the Cold War, commercial partners of the United States and Europe now offer attractive trade opportunities and security risks at the same time. High technology trade with China presents the transatlantic partners with one such dilemma, but competing interests and different threat perceptions between — and within — the United States and Europe with regards to China also raise the possibility of future transatlantic disputes. Under these circumstances, the United States and Europe must work together to forge a concerted approach to dual-use technological transfers.
Understanding the Duality in Indian Strategic ThinkingMay 04, 2010 / Manvendra Singh
The divide in India's foreign policy between globalization and insularity is accentuated by its democratic politics, with Lord Curzon's expansionistic vision of India's international presence in competition with the inward-looking non-alignment associated with Nehru. While there is a broad consensus on certain issues, the contest between these two visions will continue to define how India sees its place in the world.
As Asia RisesMarch 22, 2010 / Daniel Twining
The West has a chance to shape emerging Asia in ways that enlarge its community of values and interests as well as strengthen pluralism in the world’s most dynamic region, the Indo-Pacific.
Why Japan is Important to the WestFebruary 12, 2010 / Michael J. Green
Just as the United States has gone back-and-forth on the strategic importance of Japan, Tokyo has debated the nature of its role in the international system. The resulting oscillation by both states necessitates a careful examination of Japan’s importance. The U.S.-Japan security alliance enables strategic stability in Asia, and Japan remains both a potent economic force and a democratic anchor in the region. Both the United States and its European allies must consequently step up strategic dialogue and cooperation with Japan.
Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian CenturyJanuary 22, 2010 / Ashley J. Tellis
How can the United States and its transatlantic allies overcome the primary security dilemma of the 21st century, that of sustaining an economic system that will fuel the rise of China, a power whose growing clout threatens to challenge Western control over the international system? This paper explores solutions to overcoming this quandary. In "Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century," Tellis argues that the answer lies in a combination of further economic enmeshment fueled by deepening globalization, the maintenance of Western military superiority, and a realistic and multifaceted engagement of China.
What are the transatlantic lessons for East Asian institution-building?January 12, 2010 / Akiko Fukushima
East Asia, which has only engaged in serious institution-building over the past two decades, is today home to a crowded, multi-layered landscape of regional organizations. While initially suspicious of adopting European models for regional cooperative institutions, Asia has now become more open to such concepts. However, important differences remain in the way in which Asia adopts-and adapts-its institutional architecture over the coming decades.
Obama’s Dilemma: Reassurance or Accommodation?November 24, 2009 / Dhruva Jaishankar
After eight years of the Bush presidency, when the United States was perceived as disdainful of allies and excessively aggressive toward challengers, U.S. President Barack Obama promised a change in course. This appears to involve closer consultation with partners and greater engagement with adversaries. But despite Obama's optimistic rhetoric, adhering to these two strategies requires his administration to perform a difficult balancing act.
Power and Norms in U.S. Asia StrategyOctober 23, 2009 / Michael J. Green, Daniel Twining
China's rise is one of the most significant geopolitical events in modern history, with important ramifications for U.S. interests, regional power balances, and the international order. As the Obama administration confronts a broad set of worldwide challenges, questions remain as to how the United States should engage China amidst uncertainty about its long-term intentions and how to balance this important relationship against concerns regarding China's behavior in the international community.
“Af-Pak,” Obama’s Strategy For Afghanistan and PakistanJuly 01, 2009 / Daniel Twining
State weakness that enables terrorists to find sanctuary in Pakistan and Afghanistan poses a direct danger to Europeans and Americans. The strategic challenge for the U.S. and its European allies is sustaining a common commitment to helping the Afghan and Pakistani governments develop the institutional capability to secure their territories. It would be dangerous to walk away from our commitment to Afghanistan and Pakistan. The only viable exit strategy for the West is a victory strategy.
China’s Af-Pak MomentMay 20, 2009 / Andrew Small
As the United States and Europe look for additional sources of leverage in Pakistan and Afghanistan, a heightened role for China is one of the most promising-and the least discussed. China's substantial strategic interests in Pakistan, its major investments in both countries, and security concerns that range from narcotics flows to terrorist bases give it many shared stakes with the West. But translating common interests into complementary policies will be a challenge.
Shock of the New: Congress in Asia in 2009March 06, 2009 / Edward Gresser, Daniel Twining
The 111th Congress must develop a long-term agenda to manage rapid change in Asia. This will require conceptual adjustment, energetic and creative U.S. leadership, and international commitment. Congress can play a critical role in promoting policies that allow the U.S. to shape and lead an emerging Pacific century, including strengthening relations with core allies, reshaping international institutions to ensure that China and India assume major-power obligations as well as rights, and intensifying engagement in Southeast Asia with stern commitment to open markets, alliances with democracies, and multilateralism.
The Rise of China: A Brief Review of the Implications on the Transatlantic PartrtnershipFebruary 07, 2007 / Joseph Quinlan
An isolated, introverted backwater less than 30 years ago, China is now one of the most robust and open economies in the world. This paper examines the the re-emergence of China and the Middle Kingdom’s rising sway in the global economy.The transatlantic partnership needs to identify areas of mutual interest with China (energy security, global climate change, etc.) and work toward common solutions that would benefit all parties. China’s rise does not represent a zero-sum game. Rather, the rise of China has been largely beneficial to all parties, with more economic gains in the offing assuming the right policies are pursued and adopted by the United States, Europe, and China. 