German Marshall Fund of the United States » Beijing

Andrew Small on China’s Influence in the Middle East Peace Process

GMF Editor — Fri, 10 May 2013 16:02:14 +0000

Anchor Elaine Reyes speaks with Andrew Small, Transatlantic Fellow of the Asia Program for the German Marshall Fund, about Beijing's potential role in brokering peace between Israel and Palestine

Can China Handle the Crises to Come?

GMF Editor — Fri, 26 Apr 2013 20:39:45 +0000

Xi Jinping's legacy will not depend on whether he saved more lives in Lushan or contained the H7N9 bird flu, but on whether he can make China more open, democratic, and livable than it is today.

China’s Environment: An Economic Death Sentence

Sarah Halls — Mon, 28 Jan 2013 14:25:32 +0000

Given decades of environmental neglect and China's heavy reliance on coal, it would be difficult to produce a dramatic improvement quickly.

The Bullies of Beijing: China’s Image Problem

Sarah Halls — Sat, 15 Dec 2012 16:21:04 +0000

Military and political actions by the Chinese government have strained diplomatic relations with its neighbors.

U.S.-China Economic Relations in the Wake of the U.S. Election

Christine Chumbler — Thu, 29 Nov 2012 15:58:31 +0000

This policy brief looks at likely pillars of the Obama administration’s economic policy toward China in its second term.

Why Beijing prefers Obama

GMF Editor — Mon, 05 Nov 2012 21:25:32 +0000

The tight U.S. presidential race has raised anxieties around about the future of American foreign policy. Nowhere is the level of uncertainty and fear higher than in Beijing.

Is China’s Communist Party Doomed?

GMF Editor — Mon, 01 Oct 2012 15:54:03 +0000

Could Beijing's ruling elite succumb to the same fate as those in the former Soviet Union? Perhaps.

Beijing’s Bargain of a Decade

GMF Editor — Mon, 01 Oct 2012 15:00:38 +0000

The twin announcements coming out of Beijing last Friday may strike most as an incongruous pair.

China’s Trust Problem

sstirling — Mon, 03 Sep 2012 15:42:35 +0000

Beijing’s “peaceful rise” or “peaceful development” slogan has lost its appeal, if not credibility.

Everything You Think You Know About China Is Wrong

sstirling — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 12:55:33 +0000

Are we obsessing about its rise when we should be worried about its fall?

Andrew Small Discusses China On Wikistrat’s “Ask a Senior Analyst”

sstirling — Tue, 28 Aug 2012 20:40:42 +0000

Transatlantic Fellow Andrew Small engaged in a 24-hour Q&A with Wikistrat Facebook followers to answer questions on a number of international issues including China-Pakistan relations, China's role in a post-2014 Afghanistan, China's military clout, and the possibility of the RMB displacing the dollar as the dominant reserve currency.

Superpower Denied? Why China’s ‘Rise’ May Have Already Peaked

German Marshall Fund — Thu, 09 Aug 2012 16:49:56 +0000

How a toxic mix of economic, demographic, environmental, political, and international challenges could end China's ascent.

Beijing Plays Divide and Conquer to Win in South China Sea

sstirling — Tue, 17 Jul 2012 16:52:52 +0000

In the long-simmering South China Sea dispute, the territorial argument is becoming a flashpoint for armed conflict and an increasingly sharp-elbowed strategic tussle between the U.S. and China.

Survival Guide for One-Party Regimes

sstirling — Tue, 10 Jul 2012 20:22:32 +0000

The return of the PRI to power through a democratic process should encourage the Chinese Communist Party to think outside the box and start a process of political transformation.

China: The Invisible Dragon in the Room

GMF Editor — Wed, 06 Jun 2012 18:08:43 +0000

At last weekend’s Shangri-La Dialogue, China did much to bear out James Joyce’s maxim that absence is the highest form of presence. In deciding not to send their defense minister and offering only an elliptical justification, China made itself the subject of even greater speculation and theorizing than usual.

The Liberal Order and the Chinese Public

GMF Editor — Tue, 05 Jun 2012 17:49:41 +0000

In thinking about which powers will sustain – or threaten – the liberal order, China is typically written off as a spoiler. But as China’s public assumes greater influence over its foreign policy in the years ahead, this should not be taken for granted.

When Sisyphus met Icarus: EU-China Economic Relations during the Eurozone Crisis

Christine Chumbler — Wed, 02 May 2012 13:52:01 +0000

This policy brief examines how China, the EU, and EU member states work with each other economically.

North Korea: A New Kim on the Block

Amy Studdart — Wed, 21 Dec 2011 16:48:46 +0000

Despite tensions between Washington and Beijing, the primary U.S. concern in North Korea — containing Pyongyang’s nuclear proliferation and aggressive behavior — was not fundamentally at odds with that of the Chinese, which was to hold the regime together. There was too much at stake, and too few incentives, to do much more.That confluence was never more than a short-term arrangement, however, and it has just been terminated with the death of North Korea’s ruler Kim Jong-Il.

Beijing is Worth a Missed Dinner – Lady Ashton Goes to China

wpengine — Thu, 02 Sep 2010 06:16:17 +0000

Baroness Catherine Ashton, the EU foreign policy chief, chose to pass up dinner at the White House and instead pressed ahead with her trip to China, where she inaugurated a new strategic dialogue with her Chinese counterpart. Despite some consternation in Paris, Ashton’s decision reflects a well-founded conviction that China policy is one of the few areas where the new post-Lisbon foreign policy machinery could make a real difference.

China’s Caution on Afghanistan-Pakistan

wpengine — Wed, 30 Jun 2010 10:47:54 +0000

Although the ongoing crisis in Afghanistan and Pakistan looks like a prime candidate for closer cooperation between the United States and China, prospects of pursuing complementary policies will remain limited until China fundamentally reappraises its strategy for dealing with extremism in the region.

‘No-One Is Going to Be Bought Off by a Tiny Revaluation’

wpengine — Sat, 26 Jun 2010 10:35:51 +0000

In the run-up to the G-20 summit, China has tried to placate the United States with a revaluation of its currency. But the move is not a real change of course, explains the German Marshall Fund's Andrew Small in a Spiegel Online interview. He argues that the Chinese leadership is more concerned with deflecting external criticism than with the health of the global economy.

Beijing blinks first: the Currency Debate in Diplomatic Context

wpengine — Fri, 16 Apr 2010 12:45:04 +0000

While the U.S. Treasury's decision on whether to label China a currency manipulator is inevitably political in nature, rarely has it ever been so geopolitically loaded. In previous years, it has mainly been the economic relationship at stake. This time the implications run from Middle Eastern security to nuclear proliferation, and will do much to define the broader shape of the U.S.-China relationship in the coming years.

How Tiananmen Changed China — And Still Could

wpengine — Thu, 04 Jun 2009 21:17:14 +0000

Absent from almost all Chinese education curricula, the Tiananmen Square massacre of June 4, 1989 marks a pivotal point in Chinese economic and socio- political history. That day, thousands of innocent lives were lost and the rising desire for political liberalization and democratic reform crushed. Over the past 20 years, however, the repercussions of Six-four have deeply affected China's political, social and economic agenda. As the country is rapidly growing from a low-cost manufacturing into a developed, consumer-based society, Chinas find itself confronted with a very different set of problems. GMF Fellow Dan Twining reflects on the sweeping changes in Chinese society and closely examines their economic, social and political impact and what they can tell us about China's future.

China’s Af-Pak Moment

wpengine — Sun, 24 May 2009 15:06:55 +0000

As the United States and Europe look for additional sources of leverage in Pakistan and Afghanistan, a heightened role for China is one of the most promising-and the least discussed. China's substantial strategic interests in Pakistan, its major investments in both countries, and security concerns that range from narcotics flows to terrorist bases give it many shared stakes with the West. But translating common interests into complementary policies will be a challenge.

Fidel’s choice

wpengine — Thu, 27 Nov 2008 14:47:01 +0000

It was once said of Fidel Castro that his "stomach is in Moscow but his heart is in Beijing." Now the opposite seems to be true.

China’s New Dictatorship Diplomacy

wpengine — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 08:21:08 +0000

China is often accused of supporting a string of despots, nuclear proliferators, and genocidal regimes, shielding them from international pressure and thus reversing progress on human rights and humanitarian principles. But over the last two years, Beijing has been quietly overhauling its policies toward pariah states.

Beijing Cools on Mugabe

wpengine — Wed, 02 May 2007 12:49:24 +0000

China, which once perceived the West's condemnation of Mugabe and sanctions against his regime as an economic opportunity, now views its involvement in Zimbabwe as a liability both for its investments and its international reputation.