The Damage Can Still be Repaired
In an interview with Tagesspiegel, GMF Visiting Fellow Markus Kaim explains what the U.S. 2020 presidential election will mean for Europe.
If Donald Trump is re-elected in November, it is likely that Europe will see a continuation of current U.S. foreign policy trends. “We should not expect Trump to change his foreign policy priorities in a potential second term,” estimates Kaim. Rather, Europe would probably face four more years of his “America first” policy and the “selective use of multilateral institutions to advance American interests,” he says.
However, even if Joe Biden is elected president, “American foreign and security policy will not simply turn back to 2017,” says Kaim. “International politics have drastically changed. The West faces a new authoritarian challenge. We no longer assume that trade will transform Russia and China into democratic market economies,” he says. To meet this authoritarian challenge, a Biden administration could revive the U.S.-European alliance, which would “give the idea of a ‘Western’ community of values much deeper meaning,” says Kaim.