Escalation Programmed: Is There a New War in the Gulf?
“It is much easier for the Iranians to proceed asymmetrically. And since the actual conflict surrounding the question of dominance in the region remains ‘hot’, this conflict will also continue.” In a radio interview on Deutschlandfunk Kultur, GMF’s Jan Techau discussed the current tensions in the Gulf region.
Interviewer: Earlier, [President Trump] spoke of a red line, especially when American blood is spilled. It did not happen this time. After this missile attack by the Iranians and the way it was carried out, are Tehran and Washington now, at least in this round, more or less even?
Jan Techau: The effort on both sides is clear: both want to prevent this round from escalation, which we have already heard. The underlying conflict, the actual conflict, is a hegemonic conflict in the region. How far can Iran become the dominant power here? How far does the United States want to go? And can the United States contain this? Of course, this has not been resolved at all. So this round is probably over. The bigger game continues.