The Next Dalai Lama: Beijing's Bid for Control

Since 1951, when Tibet was formally annexed into the People’s Republic of China, Tibet has been a battleground between China’s efforts to assert control and the Tibetan people’s struggle to preserve their cultural and religious identity. This past August, Xi Jinping made a surprise visit to Tibet, his second since becoming China’s top leader in 2012. Less than two months earlier, the Dalai Lama, now 90 years old, announced that his office, not China, would choose his successor when he passes. A few months before that, the Dalai Lama revealed in a memoir that he would reincarnate outside of China. The PRC insists that the next incarnation – the 15th Dalai Lama – will be born inside PRC territory and approved by the Chinese government.

What are Beijing’s interests in Tibet and how has Xi Jinping pursued them since coming to power? What is likely to occur after the Dalai Lama’s passing? I’m delighted to have as my guest today Tendor Dorjee. Tendor is an adjunct assistant professor of political science at Columbia University, a senior researcher at the Tibet Action Institute, and the inaugural Stephanie G Neuman Fellow at the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies. He recently co-authored an article in Foreign Affairs titled Beijing’s Dangerous Game in Tibet”.

Timestamps

[00:00] Start 
[02:08] Beijing’s Key Interests in Tibet 
[04:06] Xi Jinping’s Approach to Tibet 
[07:00] Internal and External Drivers of Tibet Policy 
[08:08] Xi’s Recent Visit to Tibet 
[11:34] Infrastructure Developments and Expansionism  
[15:27] Beijing’s Succession Plans and Tibetan Reactions to a Future Dalai Lama 
[20:27] Risk of Unrest and Crackdowns 
[25:43] Implications for Neighboring States