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Bryce Barros is the China Affairs Analyst at the Alliance for Securing Democracy at the German Marshall Fund. He previously served as an analyst at Kharon researching sanctioned actors and related commercial activities tied to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, strategic trade controls, supply chains, and human rights abuses in the Indo-Pacific. Prior to that, he interned at the Long Term Strategy Group researching Sino-American Strategic Competition and the China Britain Business Council researching Chinese market entry for UK and EU companies. He is a National Committee on U.S.-China Relations member, Truman National Security Project Fellow, Association of Certified Financial Crime Specialists member, Pacific Forum Young Leader, Aspen Security Forum Scholar, and a National Security Education Program David L. Boren Fellow & Scholar. He holds a BA in Political Science from Norwich University, a MA in International Affairs from Texas A&M University, and is an honorary graduate of the Republic of China (Taiwan) Military Academy. Bryce speaks Mandarin Chinese and Japanese, and spent nearly two decades specializing in the Indo-Pacific region.

Media Mentions

It is another instance where China is trying to shape global governance of digital information to reflect domestic regulation.
It may not be enough for Beijing to want to arm Russia, which could expose China to Western sanctions, but I could see them trying to diplomatically box out the Ukrainians the same way they had tried to do with the Lithuanians.
The U.S. needs to work closely with not only its Five Eyes allies but also its NATO and Indo-Pacific allies and partners to ensure that former defense personnel that operates important U.S.-led weapons platforms are not being recruited to assist the PLA.
For the 20th National Congress, if Xi reduces the Politburo Standing Committee further or surrounds himself with members squarely loyal to him personally, I think that is a good signal that Xi not only feels comfortable with his standing in the party, but that he could push even more muscular policies on ethnic minorities in the PRC (like the Uyghurs and others) as well as on Hong Kong and Taiwan.
Hawks within the CCP and PLA might become more emboldened to take military action against Taiwan in some way as it becomes more apparent that Taiwan will not peacefully unify.
It is likely that China's major financial institutions with exposure to Western and other markets will adhere to sanction enforcement, at least when it comes to U.S. dollar transactions, out of fear of secondary sanctions.