Bryce Barros was formerly China Affairs Analyst, Alliance for Securing Democracy at GMF.

Media Mentions

We really need more people to work on China, in the intelligence community, at the State and Defense departments, and I would argue in places like the departments of Health and Human Services and Education. China policy shapes a lot of these things, and you need people to think about this in a holistic way.
In many ways, the Biden Administration has continued the hawkish China policies of the Trump Administration but with one critical additional element, working in tandem with allies and partners. The Biden Administration's overtures to allies and partners through attentiveness have helped improve their relations.
Translated from Spanish
It is another instance where China is trying to shape global governance of digital information to reflect domestic regulation.
It may not be enough for Beijing to want to arm Russia, which could expose China to Western sanctions, but I could see them trying to diplomatically box out the Ukrainians the same way they had tried to do with the Lithuanians.
The U.S. needs to work closely with not only its Five Eyes allies but also its NATO and Indo-Pacific allies and partners to ensure that former defense personnel that operates important U.S.-led weapons platforms are not being recruited to assist the PLA.
For the 20th National Congress, if Xi reduces the Politburo Standing Committee further or surrounds himself with members squarely loyal to him personally, I think that is a good signal that Xi not only feels comfortable with his standing in the party, but that he could push even more muscular policies on ethnic minorities in the PRC (like the Uyghurs and others) as well as on Hong Kong and Taiwan.
Hawks within the CCP and PLA might become more emboldened to take military action against Taiwan in some way as it becomes more apparent that Taiwan will not peacefully unify.
It is likely that China's major financial institutions with exposure to Western and other markets will adhere to sanction enforcement, at least when it comes to U.S. dollar transactions, out of fear of secondary sanctions.