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Read the latest news and commentary from the German Marshall Fund.
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected]
Or contact Angelina Sutalo (Europe), Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected] and Irvin McCullough (United States), Press Officer, at 202-876-6605 or [email protected]
For press inquiries, please contact us by email at [email protected]
Or contact Angelina Sutalo (Europe), Senior Press Officer, at +32 486 514 479 or [email protected] and Irvin McCullough (United States), Press Officer, at 202-876-6605 or [email protected]
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“ The PKK constitutes an existential threat to Turkey’s unity and therefore it is seen as the main security challenge.”
“ We should see the message by the president and his subordinates as complimentary rather than contradictory. In combination they are saying, ‘We really don’t want to block Sweden and Finland’s accession to NATO but we will unless they act.’ If Sweden and Finland are flexible and address Turkey’s concerns then I think this problem will be easily resolved. However, if they don’t, with President Erdogan doubling down … I think Turkey will block.”
“ [Erdoğan] saw an opportunity to extract some benefits both for Turkey and for his own political standing [ahead of a crucial election next year.]”
“ [I am] confident that the Turks, Swedes, and Finns will come to an agreement, the fact Erdogan is standing up at all helps add to his mythmaking as a unique leader in Turkey’s history. He can say in the past Turkish governments would unconditionally approve this application, well, as a strong leader, I’m not doing that. ”
“ Turkey having a strong air force is important from the perspective of deterrence. But, if there is a war, then of course Turkey having a strong air force would be very important for the war effort. A direct conflict with Moscow appears unlikely.”
“ The US has a direct interest in the maintenance and modernization of its existing F-16 fleet. This would be a confidence-building measure that could lead to new F-16 fighters (acquired) by Turkey and eventually to the resolution of the S-400 crisis through a mutually agreeable model.”
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