Futurecast: 2024’s Pivotal Elections in Europe and Beyond
2024 is a crucial year for elections in Europe. Voting for the European Parliament (EP) in June will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining moment. Several national elections also mark a year of change for Europe. This page curates GMF analysis on some of the races and their impact on Europe and beyond. In a dedicated series, GMF experts also discuss the effects of the EP election on key policies, consider what can—and should—be done before the vote, and outline potential post-election scenarios.
EU Elections Results Analysis
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July 9, 2024
      
                    Bucking the precedent of long and arduous bargaining processes over the EU’s top institutional jobs, national leaders found consensus on nominees for...
        
      
      
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June 10, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
        
      
      
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June 11, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
        
      
      
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June 11, 2024
      
                    The new European Parliament is set to shift to the right, yet a mainstream coalition may still secure a second term for European Commission President...
        
      
      
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June 12, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament election on June 6-9 saw overall gains for right-of-center parties without a feared surge toward the far right. Across...
        
      
      
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June 12, 2024
      
                    The impact of the European Parliament’s rightward shift will depend on the extent to which the far right can unify as well as on the willingness of...
        
      
      
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June 13, 2024
      
                    Daniel Hegedüs looks at Hungary, where a reshuffle of the party landscape poses no threat to the stability of Viktor Orbán’s regime....
        
      
      
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June 13, 2024
      
                    Anna Wójcik looks at Poland, where the once all-powerful Law and Justice party lost its first election in a decade....
        
      
      
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June 13, 2024
      
                    Jana Juzová looks at Czechia, where populists were the clear winners....
        
      
      
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              Jana Juzová
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June 13, 2024
      
                    Adam Hsakou looks at Slovakia, where more than half of voters cast their ballots in favour of eurosceptics....
        
      
      
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June 13, 2024
      
                    Clara Volintiru looks at Romania, where the year’s election cycle is only just beginning....
        
      
      
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June 14, 2024
      
                    Dimitar Keranov looks at Bulgaria, where the European Parliament vote played second fiddle to yet another inconclusive national election....
        
      
      
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EU Elections Series
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                    Dormant for the past decade, EU enlargement has regained strategic importance since Russia invaded Ukraine. ...
        
      
      
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May 21, 2024
      
                    Given the likely strengthening of the radical right in the European Parliament elections and the fact that three governments with domestic illiberal...
        
      
      
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April 16, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
        
      
      
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March 28, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
        
      
      
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March 6, 2024
      
                    Immigration is once again at the top of many European voters’ agenda in this parliamentary election year. EU policymakers are racing to reform asylum...
        
      
      
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February 20, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
        
      
      
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February 7, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the political direction of the EU over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
        
      
      
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January 29, 2024
      
                    The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore, constitute a defining...
        
      
      
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December 14, 2023
      
                    EU Election Series: The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore,...
        
      
      
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December 7, 2023
      
                    EU Election Series: The European Parliament elections in 2024 will shape the EU's political direction over the next five years and, therefore,...
        
      
      
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April 23, 2024
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April 5, 2024
      
                    The long-governing Croatian Democratic Union and the opposition president are heading for a clash in early parliamentary elections, whose outcome...
        
      
      
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April 5, 2024
      
                    Türkiye's political landscape is undergoing a transformation, and the results of last weekend’s local elections could herald significant shifts in the...
        
      
      
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April 2, 2024
      
                    Less than one year ago the Turkish opposition alliance lost presidential and parliamentary elections and subsequently collapsed. ...
        
      
      
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March 21, 2024
      
                    Türkiye is gearing up for the local elections on March 31, a year after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won reelection and secured a parliamentary...
        
      
      
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March 14, 2024
      
                    To safeguard Türkiye's democratic resilience, concerted efforts are needed. These efforts should prioritize upholding press freedom, promoting...
        
      
      
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September 12, 2023
      
                    Transatlantic Trends 2023 presents the results of representative surveys conducted in 14 countries on both sides of the Atlantic: Canada, France,...
        
      
      
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December 15, 2023
      
                    EU leaders start down a long road to Ukraine....
        
      
      
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December 13, 2023
      
                    A successful and democratic Ukraine is an existential threat to the autocratic regime in Hungary, which is playing a long game rather than seeking...
        
      
      
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December 13, 2023
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March 21, 2024
      
                    When the leader of Transnistria last month called an extraordinary congress of deputies amid rising disputes with the Moldovan authorities,...
        
      
      
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